While the premise of the research was very "tongue-in-cheek" (a zombie infection), the result can AND SHOULD BE applied to many of the risk factors for which we prep. This is worth reading and I direct your attention to the links at the bottom of the article for both references and further discussion. Full Scale Simulation: New Study Reveals Where To Go When Civilization Collapses: “Head For The Hills” - The Organic Prepper There are arguments surrounding bug-in vs bug-out. This scenario falls firmly in the bug-out camp and should be a consideration for Every Prepper. Let me push the buttons anyway. Yes, there are situations in which a bug-in is preferable. These are mostly short-term events which are expected to get better and offer a return to "life as usual". By "short-term", I mean less than a year or two. Examples of this are the hurricane and earthquake events which happen around the world, with relative frequency. The other position of this "button" relates to events which are expected to be truly long-term and result in a change in our lifestyle and society. Examples of this are pandemics which kill a large part of the human population of the world, a large meteor strike which changes world weather conditions for years afterwards or a return to either a new ice-age or an era of higher temperatures. The operative term: "long term event", means there will not be a return to our current lifestyle and society. This is why we make plans and stockpile for the future. Some of us act to change our current situation, some of us are not yet ready to act. That is NOT a judgement call on either group. It is what it is. What is important is that we all be aware of the risk factors and hopefully take some kind of action to increase our chances of survival.