Hurricane Harvey

Discussion in 'Manmade and Natural Disasters' started by Crawlingtoy, Aug 24, 2017.

  1. Crawlingtoy

    Crawlingtoy Moderator Staff Member

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    Look out in Texas! I was down there for a whie, and am lucky to have gotten out before this one came along.

    Harvey May Become First U.S. Category 3 Hurricane Landfall in Almost 12 Years; Hurricane Warnings for the Texas Coast

    Hurricane Harvey Rapidly Intensifying Near TX
    Meteorologist Danielle Banks is tracking Hurricane Harvey as it makes its way towards the Texas Coast. It’s expected to be the strongest landfall in the Texas Coastal Bend in 47 years.



    Story Highlights
    Harvey is currently a tropical storm in the western Gulf of Mexico.

    It will track toward the Texas Gulf Coast and make landfall as a hurricane Friday night.

    Harvey is likely to intensify before landfall.

    Harvey will then stall or meander for a few days, leading to a dangerous flood threat in parts of Texas and Louisiana.

    Hurricane, tropical storm and storm surge warnings have been issued for parts of Texas.

    Harvey has strengthened into a hurricane. For the latest version of our forecast article, see this link.
     
  2. Crawlingtoy

    Crawlingtoy Moderator Staff Member

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    BULLETIN
    Hurricane Harvey Advisory Number 21
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh...l/251452.shtml

    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017
    1000 AM CDT Fri Aug 25 2017

    ...OUTER RAINBAND FROM HARVEY SWIPING THE LOWER AND MIDDLE TEXAS
    COASTS...
    ...CATASTROPHIC FLOODING EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND
    SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...


    SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...26.7N 96.0W
    ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS
    ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SSE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.97 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    The Hurricane Watch south of Port Mansfield Texas to the Mouth of
    the Rio Grande has been discontinued.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
    * Port Mansfield to High Island Texas

    A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
    * South of Port Mansfield Texas to the Mouth of the Rio Grande

    A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
    * Port Mansfield to Sargent Texas

    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * North of Sargent to High Island Texas
    * South of Port Mansfield Texas to the Mouth of the Rio Grande

    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
    * South of the Mouth of the Rio Grande to Boca de Catan Mexico

    A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
    inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline in the
    indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see
    the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
    available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
    Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
    to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
    other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
    instructions from local officials.

    A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
    somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 12
    to 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be
    rushed to completion.

    A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
    threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the
    coastline in the indicated locations.

    Interests in southwestern Louisiana should continue to monitor the
    progress of this system.

    For storm information specific to your area in the United
    States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
    monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
    forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
    the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
    meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Harvey was located
    by an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft and NOAA Doppler
    radar near latitude 26.7 North, longitude 96.0 West. Harvey is
    moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), but its forward
    speed is expected to decrease significantly during the next couple
    of days. On the forecast track, Harvey will make landfall on the
    middle Texas coast tonight or early Saturday. Harvey is then likely
    to meander near or just inland of the middle Texas coast through the
    weekend.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Some strengthening is possible, and Harvey is forecast to
    become a major hurricane before it reaches the middle Texas coast.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
    center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
    miles (220 km). A buoy located about 40 miles east of South Padre
    Island recently reported sustained winds of 42 mph (68 km/h) and a
    gust to 54 mph (86 km/h).

    The minimum central pressure based on data from the Air Force plane
    is 947 mb (27.97 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL: Harvey is expected to produce total rain accumulations
    of 15 to 25 inches and isolated maximum amounts of 35 inches over
    the middle and upper Texas coast through next Wednesday. During
    the same time period Harvey is expected to produce total rain
    accumulations of 5 to 15 inches in far south Texas and the Texas
    Hill Country over through southwest and central Louisiana. Rainfall
    of this magnitude will cause catastrophic and life-threatening
    flooding.

    STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
    tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
    rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
    expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak
    surge occurs at the time of high tide...

    N Entrance Padre Island Natl Seashore to Sargent...6 to 12 ft
    Sargent to Jamaica Beach...5 to 8 ft
    Port Mansfield to N Entrance Padre Island Natl Seashore...5 to 7 ft
    Jamaica Beach to High Island...2 to 4 ft
    Mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Mansfield...2 to 4 ft
    High Island to Morgan City...1 to 3 ft

    The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
    the northeast of the landfall location, where the surge will be
    accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding
    depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and
    can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to
    your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather
    Service forecast office.

    WIND: All last-minute preparations should be rushed to completion
    since tropical storm conditions are likely just beginning in
    portions of the hurricane and tropical storm warning areas.
    Hurricane conditions are likely to begin within the hurricane
    warning area later today or tonight. Tropical storm conditions are
    likely to persist along portions of the coast through at least
    Sunday.

    SURF: Swells generated by Harvey are affecting the Texas,
    Louisiana, and northeast Mexico coasts. These swells are likely to
    cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
    consult products from your local weather office.

    TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible later today through
    Saturday near the middle and upper Texas coast.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
    Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
     
  3. Crawlingtoy

    Crawlingtoy Moderator Staff Member

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    This one is gonna be a big deal.
     
  4. Overlander

    Overlander Administrator Staff Member

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    Man the Caribbean is just getting hammered this year. Puerto Rico is just now finally mostly recovered from Irma and it looks like Maria will be cutting across the middle of the island this week as a Cat 4. This one is going to be MUCH more damaging to PR than Irma was. The middle of the island is where the crops are grown, where landslides are possible, and far away from most larger cities. I foresee people without power for many months this time.
     
  5. Crawlingtoy

    Crawlingtoy Moderator Staff Member

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    I was at the end of the earth for a while there... how did PR do after the second storm?
     

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