A Prepper Risk Assessment Chart

twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member
This is a greatly simplified version of my Prepper Threat Assessment Spreadsheet.

I will keep this updated as I feel needed. This chart is a reflection of MY situation, not necessarily of yours.

NOTE: This is a chart of Threats. Your Preparations may act to reduce your degree of Danger from these Threats.

THIS IS A WORK IN PROGRESS AND IT WILL BE CHANGED AS I WORK OUT HOW TO USE IT IN THE FORUM.

Please feel free to a copy/paste into your word processor and adjust to fit YOUR situation.

Scale of Personal Threat, 1-100
(There is no Zero value for any of these threats)

===25===50===75===100
________________________________

The Threat List:

Biological Agent Used Inside USA (100) (incremented 1/31/20)
===25===50===75===100

Biological Agent Used Outside of USA (incremented 1/27/20) (100)
===25===50===75===100

Censorship (added 6/27/2019) (100)
===25===50===75===100


Drought (50)
===25===50

Earthquake (90)
===25===50===75===

Economic Collapse (100) (added 9/27/19)
===25===50===75===100


Food Shortages (added 8/5/2019) (75)
===25===50===75

EMP / Solar CME (80)
===25===50===75=

EMP Manmade (50)
===25===50

Flood (20)
===

Government Overreach (incremented 1/27/20) (100)
===25===50===75===100

Gun Confiscation (Increased 7/26/20) (100)
===25===50===75===100

Illness, Personal or Family, Serious (75) (incremented 1/27/20)

===25===50===75

Insurance System Failure inside USA (45) (Increased 7/26/20)

===25====

Insurance System Failure Outside USA (50)

===25===50

Monetary Collapse of Dollar (100) (Increased 7/26/20)
===25===50===75===100

Nuclear Attack on USA (Increased 1/5/20) (75)
===25===50===75

Nuclear Reactor Failure inside USA (80)
===25===50===75=

Nuclear Reactor Failure outside USA (100)
===25===50===75===100

Pandemic inside USA (Increased 3/13/20) (100)

===25===50===75===100

Pandemic outside USA (98) (incremented 3/13/20) (100)
===25===50===75====100

Personal Job Loss (15)

==

Religious Wars (created 4/28/19) (50)
===25===50

Rioting (added 7/29/19) (100) (Increased 7/26/20)
===25===50===75===100

USA Internal Civil War (updated 1/27/20) (895)
===25===50===75===

Vehicle Breakdown far from home (25)
===25

Vehicle Breakdown close to home (50)

===25===50

World Monetary Collapse (90)
===25===50===75==

World War (Increased 1/5/20) (80)
===25===50===75===
 
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twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member
Jerry, yes, that was the idea. I'm guessing that much depends on the browser fonts and OS configuration of the end user.
Work in progress... Needs more work.
I may have to convert this into an image file, not simple text.
This forum software does not include a means of making graph lines except for the poll option, which doesn't fit this usage. Thanks for the feedback.
 

twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member

Jerry D Young

Active Member
Excellent. Colored double dash with numbers. From 0-30 green, 30-75 orange, 75-100 red. Various lengths of 15 up to 100. Breakdown far from home was to 25 in a different font in black.
 

twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member
Ok fixed the black colored text.
I don't understand this:
Various lengths of 15 up to 100.
I tried to make the bar graph fit in the forum text window. Depends on screen resolution, default font for the users browser.
 

Jerry D Young

Active Member
Sorry twp. That was a very poor description of what I meant. Perhaps this will be a bit better:
Job loss goes to 15
Vehicle breakdown far from home goes to 25
Solar CME goes to 80
Nuclear reactor failure outside USA goes to 100.

Just my opinion.
 

twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member
Ok, that is what I intended and those are the numbers for my personal risk levels for each threat.

I will be adding various threats to this chart and perhaps change the names for some threats.

For anyone else, they can copy paste these into a text editor and maintain their own threat assessment chart.

Sadly, I cannot move my more detailed threat analysis chart into this website. That chart needs a website all for itself.
 

twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member
Updates and additions to chart; 4/19/19
 

twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member
I've added the threat of Gun Confiscation to the list because of this article:

Colorado Gov. Jared Polis Signs Democrat-Sponsored Gun Confiscation Bill

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/...gns-democrat-sponsored-gun-confiscation-bill/
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2019/04/15/colorado-gov-jared-polis-signs-democrat-sponsored-gun-confiscation-bill/
Be aware that Colorado is NOT the only state to have or be considering such legislation. Look here for more on the topic:'
http://www.gunconfiscation.com/
 

twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member
I've alphabetized the threat list.
 

twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member
I've added a threat "Religious Wars". This is a very broad topic and bound to create disagreement between those who discuss it. Remember, this particular chart is MY opinion. YOUR chart may use this threat if you think it warranted, or not. Right now, we are seeing many attacks on multiple sides in the religious communities of the world. That is why I've added this as a specific threat item.

Because of the controversial nature of religions, let us not engage in debate on the topic, but just watch carefully, as a Prepper, for how this may impact you and your family.
 

twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member
I've bumped the threat level for World War by five point, due to the current navel actions in the South China Sea and the Iran nuclear blustering. North Korea has fired some short range missiles as a provocation also. China is apparently placing troops into Venezuela...
 

twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member
I've increased my threat level for Pandemic Inside The USA, from 50 to 60.

This is due to the many reports which I'm reading about the increase in disease cases, including Typhoid, in our American South and West.

It is likely that this case increase is related to the very large number of Illegal Aliens (NOT immigrants) which are entering the country and being distributed across the states.

Another factor is the high population of homeless living in cities such as Las Angeles and San Francisco California. The reports indicate very unsanitary conditions in an area with high traffic.
 
Last edited:

twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member
I've increase the risk factors on two threats:
Gun Confiscation and World War
This is based on reports of actual confiscation inside the US and the attacks on oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman. The movement of US ships to assist the tankers is also a factor in an increased risk.
 

twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member
Another increase in risk level, for two threats:
Nuclear attack on the US and World War

This is based on the report, today, that Iran has shot down a US drone plane in international waters.
 

twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member
New Threat added: Censorship. Started at 100% risk level, due to the current reactions by various social media and video sharing restrictions.
 

twp

Admin, DuckDuckGo No Longer Recommended
Staff member
New Threat added: Food Shortages. Started at 75% risk level based on reports of expected crop loss impacting food availability in the US.
 
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